Model risk management is an evolving topic for community banks and credit unions. While models have been around for a long time, their prevalence in artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and other software applications makes understanding and managing them more important than ever. Let's dive into some frequently asked questions about model risk management.
According to the interagency Supervisory Guidance on Model Risk Management, a "model" is:
"A quantitative method, system, or approach that applies statistical, economic, financial, or mathematical theories, techniques, and assumptions to process input data into quantitative estimates."
A model works like this.
| Raw data goes into the model. | The model processes the data and translates it into meaningful information. | The model outputs the results in an easy-to-understand format. | You then use the results to make informed business decisions. |
For example, take a mortgage lending application. You input various data points about a property into the system, such as its location, size, and recent market trends. The application processes this information using statistical models and algorithms to generate a valuation report. Then, this report helps your institution determine whether offering a mortgage loan on the property is a good decision or not.
From a financial perspective, institutions may use models for a variety of purposes, such as:
Other emerging model use cases may include:
No model is perfect. Because of this, there's always risk with using one.
The biggest risk associated with using a model is the risk of inaccurate outputs. These inaccurate outputs might occur for several reasons, like unintended misconfigurations, intentional tampering, or flawed input data. Poor model training and validation may also lead to issues like model drift or biased results.
While models are intended to help, if the model is incorrect or if you use the model's output incorrectly, this can result in increased risk across the board (e.g., strategic, financial, compliance, operational, etc.).
Model risk management is important because it helps you have confidence in the model's outputs. It helps you make sure that whatever you're using the model to do, you can better trust the results.
Here are six steps you can follow to start managing model risk.
While there is no regulatory requirement to perform model validation on a set basis (e.g., at least annually), it is important to perform model validation on a frequency that aligns with the bank's risk, complexity, and model use.
For example, OCC Bulletin 2025-26 states:
"A community bank using relatively few models of only moderate complexity might conduct significantly fewer model risk management activities than a bank where use of models is more extensive or complex. Similarly, a community bank's model validation frequency will generally be less than that of a larger bank with more extensive and complex model usage. Importantly, the OCC will not provide negative supervisory feedback to a bank solely for the frequency or scope of the model validation that the bank reasonably determined to perform based on the bank's risk exposures, its business activities, and the complexity and extent of its model use."
Even if the model you use is developed by a third party, you are still ultimately responsible for the outcome. That being the case, you should ask your vendors about these areas. Determine how they train and validate their models. Based on the criticality of the model, consider requesting a model validation report and/or other proof of testing. In short, if you're depending on a vendor to make decisions for you, you need to be aware of how they make (and protect) those decisions.
If your business is basing key decisions on model outputs, it is important to ensure the models are configured and validated correctly. For additional information about managing the risk of vendors who use AI models, download our AI Review Checklist or use the Artificial Intelligence (AI) review template in the Tandem Vendor Management product. Learn more about how Tandem can help you at Tandem.App/Vendor-Management-Software.
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